ABSTRACT

The launched of the new Probolinggo-Pasuruan toll road affected the Express Bus route from Jember to Surabaya. Taken from a third party application, the travel time for the Jember-Surabaya Express Bus route changes faster. The acceleration of travel time is 1 hour, from 4 hours 30 minutes to 3 hours 30 minutes. The initial hypothesis of this change is a change in public interest as users of the mode of transportation from the Train to the Express Bus. The Stated Preference method is used to determine people's preferences. Based on the analysis results, there are two utility model results obtained from the travel cost difference attribute and the travel time difference attribute with an R2 value of 0.995. Based on the results of the sensitivity analysis, the greater the difference between the cost of travel and the difference in travel time, the probability of train passengers to move using the Express Bus will continue to increase.